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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.4 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.70–1.04 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Telstar |
| Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar | 1.33–1.42 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle | 1.90–0.81 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Feyenoord 3–1 Groningen | 1.64–1.46 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard | 2.41–0.85 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax | 1.45–2.43 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.28–1.86 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 51% |
| Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht | 3.31–0.84 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Heracles 0–2 FC Volendam | 0.79–0.91 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.