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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.7 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente 2–1 FC Volendam | 2.08–1.15 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Utrecht 4–1 Telstar | 1.57–1.32 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PSV Eindhoven | 1.20–2.00 | 23% · 22% · 56% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Groningen 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.72–0.82 | 59% · 24% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Groningen had 59% |
| Heracles 0–3 Ajax | 1.19–1.92 | 23% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–1 NAC Breda | 1.59–0.75 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 57% |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord | 2.04–1.68 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior | 2.66–1.50 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Draw against the xG: PEC Zwolle had 62% |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen | 1.85–0.64 | 66% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.