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Eredivisie 2026/2027 xG Round-Up: Matchday 12

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Matches

Matchday 12 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 42 goals from 30.3 xG (1.39 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Willem II 1–1 PEC Zwolle0.74–0.7831% · 36% · 33%Draw in line with xG
Fortuna Sittard 2–2 Telstar1.95–0.8563% · 21% · 16%Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 63%
ADO Den Haag 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam1.76–2.2630% · 20% · 49%Close call, ADO Den Haag won
Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles0.84–0.6138% · 37% · 25%Close call, Go Ahead Eagles won
Heerenveen 5–3 Feyenoord1.97–1.2255% · 22% · 23%Win in line with xG for Heerenveen
Twente 2–2 Ajax2.56–0.7277% · 15% · 8%Draw against the xG: Twente had 77%
Cambuur 2–5 PSV Eindhoven1.06–2.6213% · 16% · 71%Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar 4–3 Groningen3.71–2.2166% · 14% · 20%Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht 2–3 NEC Nijmegen2.10–2.3136% · 20% · 44%Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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