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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 33.3 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard | 2.95–0.96 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 78% |
| Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen | 1.46–1.33 | 40% · 25% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| PSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem II | 2.77–1.28 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar | 0.77–2.32 | 11% · 17% · 72% | Won against the xG: Ajax |
| Cambuur 4–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.60–0.66 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Cambuur |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag | 1.48–0.52 | 61% · 26% · 13% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Excelsior 0–9 Twente | 0.00–6.29 | 0% · 0% · 100% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Telstar 4–2 Utrecht | 2.49–1.31 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Telstar |
| Groningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.68–2.46 | 45% · 18% · 37% | Close call, Sparta Rotterdam won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.