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5 of 6 matches with xG: 10 goals from 17.1 xG (0.58 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani 3–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 2.12–1.71 | 48% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Olimpia 0–0 Rubio NU | 1.99–1.30 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Olimpia had 53% |
| Sportivo Ameliano 3–0 2 de Mayo | 2.11–0.48 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Ameliano |
| Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Libertad Asuncion | 2.76–1.88 | 57% · 18% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Trinidense |
| Cerro Porteno 0–2 Nacional Asuncion | 1.42–1.36 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Close call, Nacional Asuncion won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.