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4 of 6 matches with xG: 6 goals from 9.5 xG (0.63 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Olimpia | 0.54–1.69 | 11% · 23% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| 2 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo Trinidense | 1.68–1.08 | 51% · 24% · 24% | Win in line with xG for 2 de Mayo |
| Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Club Guarani | 1.11–0.64 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cerro Porteno 2–0 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.94–0.86 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.