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4 of 6 matches with xG: 6 goals from 9.8 xG (0.61 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani 0–2 Cerro Porteno | 1.15–2.38 | 17% · 18% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno | 1.84–0.79 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
| Olimpia 1–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 1.24–0.73 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rubio NU 0–1 2 de Mayo | 1.14–0.51 | 51% · 32% · 17% | Won against the xG: 2 de Mayo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.