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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 20.2 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno 2–3 Club Guarani | 1.78–2.44 | 28% · 19% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta | 2.05–0.23 | 81% · 16% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Nacional Asuncion |
| General Caballero 0–0 Libertad Asuncion | 0.46–0.80 | 20% · 40% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| 2 de Mayo 3–2 Olimpia | 1.82–2.87 | 23% · 17% · 60% | Won against the xG: 2 de Mayo |
| Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano | 1.37–0.38 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Trinidense |
| Cerro Porteno 1–1 Atlético Tembetary | 3.33–2.70 | 52% · 16% · 32% | Draw against the xG: Cerro Porteno had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.