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6 of 6 matches with xG: 24 goals from 18.9 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tembetary 2–3 Sportivo Ameliano | 0.92–1.81 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Ameliano |
| 2 de Mayo 1–0 Club Guarani | 0.64–0.45 | 34% · 44% · 22% | Close call, 2 de Mayo won |
| General Caballero 2–1 Cerro Porteno | 1.14–2.09 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Won against the xG: General Caballero |
| Sportivo Luqueno 1–4 Libertad Asuncion | 1.08–1.68 | 24% · 24% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
| Nacional Asuncion 4–1 Olimpia | 2.03–1.00 | 61% · 21% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Nacional Asuncion |
| Sportivo Trinidense 2–3 Deportivo Recoleta | 2.68–3.43 | 30% · 16% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Recoleta |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.