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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 12.5 xG (1.44 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Caballero 5–2 Sportivo Luqueno | 1.81–1.49 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for General Caballero |
| Olimpia 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense | 1.27–1.41 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Recoleta 3–1 Atlético Tembetary | 0.78–0.53 | 38% · 39% · 23% | Close call, Deportivo Recoleta won |
| Cerro Porteno 2–0 Sportivo Ameliano | 1.70–0.20 | 76% · 20% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| Club Guarani 2–0 Nacional Asuncion | 1.25–0.56 | 53% · 30% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Libertad Asuncion 0–1 2 de Mayo | 0.26–1.28 | 7% · 29% · 63% | Win in line with xG for 2 de Mayo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.