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6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 15.4 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Club Guarani | 0.97–1.21 | 29% · 29% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Cerro Porteno | 1.12–0.94 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Close call, Cerro Porteno won |
| Nacional Asuncion 3–1 Libertad Asuncion | 2.16–1.43 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Nacional Asuncion |
| 2 de Mayo 2–0 General Caballero | 1.33–0.36 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Win in line with xG for 2 de Mayo |
| Sportivo Ameliano 1–4 Deportivo Recoleta | 2.11–0.82 | 67% · 19% · 13% | Won against the xG: Deportivo Recoleta |
| Atlético Tembetary 0–2 Olimpia | 0.86–2.10 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.