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6 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 13.6 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Caballero 1–1 Atlético Tembetary | 2.13–1.73 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Sportivo Trinidense | 0.30–1.06 | 10% · 35% · 55% | Won against the xG: Sportivo Luqueno |
| 2 de Mayo 1–0 Nacional Asuncion | 1.65–0.39 | 69% · 23% · 8% | Win in line with xG for 2 de Mayo |
| Libertad Asuncion 1–2 Sportivo Ameliano | 0.89–0.80 | 35% · 34% · 30% | Close call, Sportivo Ameliano won |
| Club Guarani 2–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 2.15–0.26 | 82% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Cerro Porteno 1–1 Olimpia | 1.95–0.28 | 78% · 17% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Cerro Porteno had 78% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.