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6 of 6 matches with xG: 21 goals from 17.7 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tembetary 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno | 1.60–2.52 | 24% · 19% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Sportivo Luqueno had 58% |
| Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 2 de Mayo | 2.16–0.67 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Trinidense |
| Olimpia 1–3 Club Guarani | 2.73–1.60 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Won against the xG: Club Guarani |
| Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 Libertad Asuncion | 0.92–1.00 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sportivo Ameliano 1–4 General Caballero | 1.31–1.16 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Close call, General Caballero won |
| Nacional Asuncion 1–2 Cerro Porteno | 0.67–1.39 | 18% · 28% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.