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6 of 6 matches with xG: 19 goals from 17.1 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani 1–3 Olimpia | 1.97–1.94 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Close call, Olimpia won |
| Libertad Asuncion 3–0 Nacional Asuncion | 1.36–1.10 | 43% · 27% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
| Cerro Porteno 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.59–0.88 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Cerro Porteno had 54% |
| Sportivo Trinidense 3–0 Sportivo Ameliano | 1.43–0.93 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Trinidense |
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2–2 Rubio NU | 1.86–1.79 | 41% · 22% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sportivo Luqueno 3–0 2 de Mayo | 1.88–0.38 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Luqueno |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.