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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 13.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo 0–0 Sportivo Trinidense | 0.65–0.67 | 30% · 40% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nacional Asuncion 0–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 1.38–1.79 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
| Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Club Guarani | 0.65–0.94 | 24% · 35% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Club Guarani |
| Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Cerro Porteno | 1.38–0.97 | 46% · 27% · 26% | Won against the xG: Cerro Porteno |
| Olimpia 4–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 1.30–0.71 | 51% · 29% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| Rubio NU 0–5 Sportivo Luqueno | 1.25–2.26 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Luqueno |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.