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3 of 6 matches with xG: 5 goals from 8.4 xG (0.60 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno 0–3 Cerro Porteno | 0.98–2.74 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| 2 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano | 0.82–0.65 | 37% · 37% · 26% | Close call, 2 de Mayo won |
| Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta | 2.26–0.91 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Nacional Asuncion |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.