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6 of 6 matches with xG: 15 goals from 17.1 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubio NU 0–2 Club Guarani | 1.27–0.97 | 43% · 28% · 28% | Close call, Club Guarani won |
| Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno | 1.66–1.28 | 46% · 24% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
| Nacional Asuncion 0–1 Sportivo Trinidense | 0.70–1.53 | 17% · 26% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Sportivo Trinidense |
| 2 de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta | 0.66–0.36 | 37% · 45% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sportivo Ameliano 2–3 Olimpia | 1.60–2.25 | 27% · 20% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–3 Cerro Porteno | 1.34–3.45 | 11% · 12% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.