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4 of 6 matches with xG: 9 goals from 12.0 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion | 1.45–0.69 | 55% · 27% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Sportivo Trinidense had 55% |
| Cerro Porteno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 1.84–1.58 | 44% · 22% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Cerro Porteno |
| Sportivo Luqueno 1–2 Libertad Asuncion | 0.99–3.02 | 9% · 13% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Libertad Asuncion |
| Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Ameliano | 1.95–0.45 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Olimpia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.