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4 of 9 matches with xG: 8 goals from 10.2 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Atletico 0–0 Alianza Lima | 0.81–0.92 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sport Huancayo 2–0 FC Cajamarca | 1.61–0.66 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sport Huancayo |
| Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 0.96–1.51 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Club Deportivo Los Chankas had 50% |
| FBC Melgar 4–0 UCV Moquegua | 3.59–0.14 | 96% · 4% · 0% | Win in line with xG for FBC Melgar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.