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3 of 9 matches with xG: 9 goals from 9.7 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso 2–3 Cienciano | 1.85–3.02 | 22% · 16% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Cienciano |
| Sport Huancayo 2–1 Sporting Cristal | 2.68–0.98 | 73% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Sport Huancayo |
| UTC Cajamarca 0–1 Alianza Lima | 0.56–0.60 | 27% · 43% · 30% | Close call, Alianza Lima won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.