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4 of 9 matches with xG: 15 goals from 8.0 xG (1.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca 3–4 Comerciantes Unidos | 1.12–2.37 | 16% · 18% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Comerciantes Unidos |
| Sport Huancayo 0–1 ADT | 0.17–0.27 | 12% · 67% · 20% | Close call, ADT won |
| Juan Pablo II College 2–3 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.50–1.01 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Won against the xG: Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
| Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Alianza Lima | 0.35–1.17 | 11% · 32% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Alianza Lima had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.