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6 of 9 matches with xG: 15 goals from 14.5 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADT 1–1 FBC Melgar | 1.29–0.65 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Draw against the xG: ADT had 52% |
| Cienciano 3–0 FC Cajamarca | 4.74–0.05 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Cienciano |
| UCV Moquegua 1–2 Cusco | 1.00–1.60 | 24% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Cusco |
| Comerciantes Unidos 0–0 Universitario | 0.59–1.34 | 16% · 28% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Universitario had 55% |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–2 Sporting Cristal | 1.24–1.15 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
| Alianza Lima 2–0 Juan Pablo II College | 0.88–0.01 | 58% · 41% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Alianza Lima |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.