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5 of 9 matches with xG: 15 goals from 10.5 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso 3–2 Sport Boys | 1.22–0.77 | 47% · 30% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Garcilaso |
| FBC Melgar 1–3 Cusco | 1.50–1.54 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Cusco |
| Universitario 1–0 Alianza Lima | 0.63–0.73 | 28% · 39% · 34% | Close call, Universitario won |
| Sport Huancayo 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos | 0.97–0.80 | 38% · 33% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juan Pablo II College 2–1 UTC Cajamarca | 1.54–0.82 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Juan Pablo II College |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.