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6 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 14.9 xG (1.61 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec 2–3 Korona Kielce | 2.43–0.78 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Won against the xG: Korona Kielce |
| Piast Gliwice 3–2 Widzew Łódź | 2.48–0.81 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Piast Gliwice |
| Puszcza Niepołomice 2–2 Ruch Chorzów | 1.64–0.85 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Puszcza Niepołomice had 56% |
| Raków Częstochowa 3–0 Radomiak Radom | 1.56–0.89 | 53% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Raków Częstochowa |
| Pogon Szczecin 5–0 Lech Poznan | 2.00–0.25 | 80% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Pogon Szczecin |
| Jagiellonia 2–0 Legia Warszawa | 0.51–0.73 | 23% · 41% · 37% | Close call, Jagiellonia won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.