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8 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.8 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce 1–1 Widzew Łódź | 1.57–0.96 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Korona Kielce had 52% |
| Radomiak Radom 1–1 Puszcza Niepołomice | 3.71–1.67 | 75% · 12% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Radomiak Radom had 75% |
| Slask Wroclaw 1–0 Piast Gliwice | 2.67–0.75 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Slask Wroclaw |
| Cracovia Krakow 1–5 Pogon Szczecin | 2.13–1.75 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Close call, Pogon Szczecin won |
| Lech Poznan 2–1 Stal Mielec | 2.97–0.74 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Lech Poznan |
| Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Warta Poznań | 0.55–0.53 | 28% · 45% · 27% | Close call, Zaglebie Lubin won |
| Ruch Chorzów 3–5 Raków Częstochowa | 1.65–2.25 | 28% · 20% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Raków Częstochowa |
| Legia Warszawa 2–1 Gornik Zabrze | 2.33–1.60 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Legia Warszawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.