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9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 20.4 xG (1.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga 1–2 Famalicao | 1.08–0.73 | 43% · 32% · 24% | Won against the xG: Famalicao |
| Gil Vicente 5–0 Portimonense | 1.59–1.01 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Farense 0–3 Casa Pia | 0.28–1.75 | 5% · 20% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Sporting CP 3–2 Vizela | 2.04–0.86 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Rio Ave 2–0 Chaves | 3.32–0.30 | 92% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Estrela 0–1 Vitória Guimarães | 0.38–0.70 | 18% · 44% · 39% | Close call, Vitória Guimarães won |
| Arouca 4–3 Estoril | 0.55–0.61 | 27% · 43% · 31% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Moreirense 1–2 FC Porto | 0.45–0.72 | 20% · 42% · 38% | Close call, FC Porto won |
| Boavista 3–2 Benfica | 1.99–2.09 | 38% · 20% · 42% | Close call, Boavista won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.