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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.6 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 1–1 Boavista | 0.60–0.51 | 31% · 44% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 0–0 Vizela | 0.88–1.14 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chaves 4–2 Gil Vicente | 2.41–1.15 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Chaves |
| SC Braga 2–1 Rio Ave | 2.91–2.03 | 56% · 17% · 26% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Estoril 0–1 Benfica | 0.74–2.64 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Estrela | 0.15–0.95 | 6% · 38% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Famalicao 1–3 Vitória Guimarães | 2.08–1.13 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Won against the xG: Vitória Guimarães |
| FC Porto 1–0 Portimonense | 1.36–0.60 | 55% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Sporting CP 2–1 Arouca | 1.70–0.61 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.