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9 of 9 matches with xG: 34 goals from 24.0 xG (1.41 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 2–4 SC Braga | 1.48–2.71 | 19% · 17% · 64% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Benfica 1–0 FC Porto | 1.32–0.26 | 65% · 28% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Vizela 2–3 Portimonense | 0.97–1.44 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Portimonense |
| Boavista 2–2 Famalicao | 0.96–1.32 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 2–3 Sporting CP | 0.47–3.15 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Arouca 0–2 Chaves | 0.49–1.10 | 16% · 33% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Chaves |
| Vitória Guimarães 3–2 Estoril | 2.93–0.89 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Rio Ave 0–4 Moreirense | 1.13–2.12 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia | 0.99–0.30 | 53% · 36% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.