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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao 1–0 Arouca | 0.12–2.35 | 1% · 11% · 88% | Won against the xG: Famalicao |
| Moreirense 1–0 Farense | 1.13–0.46 | 53% · 32% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Estoril 2–2 Vizela | 0.78–0.38 | 42% · 41% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.68–1.13 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 2–1 Gil Vicente | 1.59–0.70 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Chaves 2–2 Estrela | 1.68–1.61 | 40% · 23% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portimonense 1–3 Benfica | 1.47–1.79 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 4–1 Boavista | 4.75–1.00 | 92% · 5% · 3% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Sporting CP 2–0 Rio Ave | 1.32–0.60 | 54% · 29% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.