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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.9 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 0–1 FC Porto | 1.07–0.38 | 53% · 34% · 13% | Won against the xG: FC Porto |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao | 0.25–0.85 | 10% · 41% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 3–1 SC Braga | 3.48–1.30 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Vizela 1–2 Benfica | 1.55–1.89 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Gil Vicente 5–3 Estoril | 1.86–2.51 | 29% · 19% · 52% | Won against the xG: Gil Vicente |
| Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia | 0.45–0.88 | 18% · 38% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–2 Portimonense | 0.72–1.17 | 23% · 31% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Portimonense |
| Sporting CP 3–0 Moreirense | 2.16–0.31 | 81% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Boavista 4–1 Chaves | 2.12–1.90 | 44% · 21% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Boavista |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.