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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 17.4 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela 1–0 Gil Vicente | 1.44–0.47 | 61% · 27% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Vizela |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave | 0.45–0.46 | 25% · 49% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portimonense 1–1 Estrela | 0.98–1.54 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 50% |
| Famalicao 1–0 Farense | 0.95–0.21 | 54% · 38% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Benfica 4–0 Vitória Guimarães | 2.65–1.08 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estoril 1–2 Boavista | 0.64–0.99 | 23% · 34% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Boavista |
| Chaves 1–2 Moreirense | 0.79–1.02 | 28% · 32% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| FC Porto 1–1 Arouca | 2.67–0.34 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 86% |
| SC Braga 1–1 Sporting CP | 0.43–0.33 | 27% · 54% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.