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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 24.9 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 2–1 Estoril | 1.54–1.17 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Arouca 1–1 Portimonense | 1.86–0.16 | 80% · 18% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Arouca had 80% |
| Farense 5–0 Chaves | 2.66–1.47 | 63% · 17% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Gil Vicente 2–3 Benfica | 1.09–2.64 | 13% · 16% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Boavista 1–1 Casa Pia | 1.30–0.71 | 51% · 29% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Boavista had 51% |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–0 Vizela | 1.10–0.40 | 53% · 33% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Sporting CP 1–0 Famalicao | 2.19–0.38 | 79% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Rio Ave 1–2 FC Porto | 1.28–2.53 | 18% · 18% · 65% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Moreirense 2–3 SC Braga | 1.03–1.35 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.