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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.7 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao 2–1 Casa Pia | 3.45–0.26 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Gil Vicente | 0.99–0.79 | 39% · 33% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 1–2 Santa Clara | 1.56–1.27 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Close call, Santa Clara won |
| Arouca 4–1 Boavista | 1.48–1.65 | 35% · 24% · 42% | Close call, Arouca won |
| AVS 0–3 Moreirense | 0.32–1.19 | 10% · 31% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| FC Porto 3–0 Nacional | 1.88–1.19 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| SC Braga 1–1 Benfica | 1.89–1.34 | 50% · 22% · 27% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 50% |
| Sporting CP 2–0 Vitória Guimarães | 2.18–0.04 | 88% · 12% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Estoril 4–0 Estrela | 2.59–0.62 | 80% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.