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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.8 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave | 1.75–1.17 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Nacional had 51% |
| Santa Clara 2–1 Famalicao | 3.30–1.39 | 74% · 13% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Benfica 1–1 Sporting CP | 1.39–0.32 | 65% · 27% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 65% |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca | 1.30–0.81 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 2–1 SC Braga | 0.75–1.62 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
| Estrela 0–1 AVS | 0.89–1.41 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Win in line with xG for AVS |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–2 Farense | 2.14–1.59 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Won against the xG: Farense |
| Moreirense 2–2 Estoril | 1.37–1.61 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Boavista 1–2 FC Porto | 1.75–1.27 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Won against the xG: FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.