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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 18.2 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto 3–1 Moreirense | 1.87–0.34 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Farense 2–1 Famalicao | 1.82–0.92 | 59% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Nacional 1–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.74–0.88 | 29% · 35% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| SC Braga 1–1 Santa Clara | 1.05–0.62 | 45% · 33% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Estoril 1–2 Benfica | 1.20–1.61 | 28% · 25% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia | 1.07–0.30 | 55% · 34% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Arouca had 55% |
| Sporting CP 2–1 Gil Vicente | 0.72–0.79 | 30% · 37% · 34% | Close call, Sporting CP won |
| Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela | 1.98–0.22 | 80% · 16% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| AVS 1–2 Boavista | 1.22–0.83 | 45% · 30% · 25% | Won against the xG: Boavista |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.