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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.7 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao 1–1 SC Braga | 2.03–0.85 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 65% |
| Santa Clara 2–0 Arouca | 0.84–0.99 | 30% · 32% · 38% | Close call, Santa Clara won |
| Gil Vicente 1–0 Farense | 1.47–0.13 | 73% · 24% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Estrela 2–0 FC Porto | 2.43–0.50 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Moreirense 1–1 Nacional | 0.49–0.52 | 26% · 46% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitória Guimarães 3–0 Rio Ave | 1.89–0.50 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Benfica 6–0 AVS | 3.57–0.54 | 91% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Boavista 0–5 Sporting CP | 0.42–4.03 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Casa Pia 1–3 Estoril | 1.88–1.62 | 44% · 22% · 34% | Close call, Estoril won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.