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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.3 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave 1–1 Santa Clara | 0.46–1.64 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Santa Clara had 67% |
| Farense 0–1 Boavista | 1.09–0.52 | 49% · 33% · 17% | Won against the xG: Boavista |
| FC Porto 2–1 Famalicao | 0.54–0.39 | 31% · 48% · 21% | Close call, FC Porto won |
| Sporting CP 3–1 Moreirense | 2.67–0.32 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| AVS 1–1 Casa Pia | 0.88–1.17 | 28% · 30% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente | 0.79–1.62 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Arouca 1–0 Estrela | 1.85–0.69 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Estoril 0–2 SC Braga | 0.37–0.74 | 17% · 43% · 41% | Close call, SC Braga won |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Benfica | 1.59–1.99 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.