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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.7 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória Guimarães | 0.38–0.67 | 18% · 44% · 37% | Close call, Vitória Guimarães won |
| Boavista 0–1 Nacional | 1.76–1.10 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Won against the xG: Nacional |
| Famalicao 3–0 Estoril | 2.17–0.40 | 79% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Santa Clara 0–1 Sporting CP | 0.69–0.82 | 28% · 36% · 36% | Close call, Sporting CP won |
| Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto | 0.62–0.81 | 26% · 38% · 37% | Close call, FC Porto won |
| Estrela 0–1 Farense | 1.43–1.20 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Close call, Farense won |
| Benfica 2–2 Arouca | 2.86–1.38 | 68% · 16% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 68% |
| SC Braga 4–1 AVS | 2.11–0.52 | 75% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Moreirense 0–2 Rio Ave | 0.36–1.44 | 9% · 26% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.