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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 24.1 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.85–0.47 | 42% · 38% · 19% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Moreirense 0–0 AVS | 1.09–1.98 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Draw against the xG: AVS had 58% |
| Arouca 3–1 Tondela | 1.60–0.57 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| SC Braga 2–2 Estrela | 2.41–0.73 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 75% |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave | 2.34–0.61 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Casa Pia had 76% |
| Nacional 2–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.93–1.38 | 25% · 27% · 47% | Won against the xG: Nacional |
| Estoril 1–3 Benfica | 1.52–4.22 | 8% · 9% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 1–0 Alverca | 0.56–0.46 | 30% · 46% · 24% | Close call, Famalicao won |
| Sporting CP 3–0 Gil Vicente | 1.65–0.68 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.