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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.6 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS 3–1 FC Porto | 0.75–3.06 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Won against the xG: AVS |
| Alverca 1–1 Estoril | 1.27–0.90 | 45% · 29% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Benfica 2–2 SC Braga | 3.19–0.21 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 93% |
| Estrela 0–0 Famalicao | 0.25–2.00 | 4% · 17% · 80% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 80% |
| Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca | 0.81–1.39 | 22% · 28% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP | 0.70–1.58 | 16% · 25% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional | 1.37–0.61 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Tondela 2–0 Moreirense | 1.39–0.29 | 66% · 27% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Tondela |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Casa Pia | 0.94–0.88 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.