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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara | 0.78–1.86 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Santa Clara had 63% |
| Moreirense 3–2 Estrela | 1.68–2.75 | 22% · 17% · 60% | Won against the xG: Moreirense |
| Nacional 1–2 AVS | 1.83–1.64 | 43% · 22% · 35% | Close call, AVS won |
| Famalicao 2–2 Benfica | 1.53–1.55 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 1–0 Alverca | 0.62–0.79 | 26% · 38% · 36% | Close call, FC Porto won |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela | 0.45–1.18 | 14% · 31% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Tondela |
| SC Braga 1–1 Estoril | 0.41–0.89 | 16% · 38% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rio Ave 0–0 Gil Vicente | 1.58–0.66 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 60% |
| Sporting CP 5–1 Vitória Guimarães | 4.22–0.52 | 94% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.