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6 of 6 matches with xG: 27 goals from 20.7 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Arabi SC 2–2 Al Ahli Doha | 2.43–1.38 | 61% · 19% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Al-Arabi SC had 61% |
| Al Wakrah 0–3 Al Shahaniya | 1.73–2.20 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Al Shahaniya |
| Al Shamal 5–0 Al-Sailiya | 3.25–0.92 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Al Shamal |
| Al-Gharafa 1–2 Al-Duhail SC | 0.70–0.73 | 30% · 38% · 32% | Close call, Al-Duhail SC won |
| Lusail City 3–2 Qatar SC | 2.12–1.83 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Lusail City |
| Al Sadd 3–4 Al-Rayyan SC | 2.00–1.36 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Won against the xG: Al-Rayyan SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.