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6 of 6 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.6 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya 1–2 Al Ahli Doha | 0.61–2.80 | 6% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Al Ahli Doha |
| Al Sadd 4–1 Al Shamal | 2.84–2.23 | 52% · 18% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Al Sadd |
| Al-Gharafa 2–0 Qatar SC | 1.44–1.74 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Close call, Al-Gharafa won |
| Al-Sailiya 1–2 Lusail City | 0.78–1.49 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Lusail City |
| Al-Arabi SC 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC | 0.93–0.83 | 36% · 33% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Duhail SC 3–1 Al Wakrah | 2.00–0.88 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Al-Duhail SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.