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6 of 6 matches with xG: 29 goals from 20.3 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya 0–4 Al Sadd | 0.60–2.14 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Al Sadd |
| Al-Gharafa 2–2 Al Ahli Doha | 1.58–3.04 | 17% · 16% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Al Ahli Doha had 67% |
| Al Shamal 2–3 Qatar SC | 2.21–1.28 | 58% · 20% · 21% | Won against the xG: Qatar SC |
| Al-Sailiya 1–6 Al-Rayyan SC | 0.19–3.40 | 1% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Al-Rayyan SC |
| Al Wakrah 3–2 Al-Arabi SC | 1.21–1.23 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Close call, Al Wakrah won |
| Al-Duhail SC 3–1 Lusail City | 2.75–0.71 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Al-Duhail SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.