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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 19.1 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha 0–3 Al Wakrah | 0.68–2.00 | 12% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Al Wakrah |
| Al Shahaniya 0–6 Al-Arabi SC | 1.51–4.34 | 8% · 9% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Al-Arabi SC |
| Al-Sailiya 2–2 Qatar SC | 1.59–0.69 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Al-Sailiya had 59% |
| Lusail City 0–0 Al Shamal | 0.80–0.63 | 36% · 38% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Duhail SC | 2.24–2.50 | 36% · 19% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Al-Duhail SC |
| Al-Gharafa 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC | 0.37–1.75 | 7% · 21% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Al-Rayyan SC had 72% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.