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3 of 6 matches with xG: 9 goals from 7.2 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar SC 0–3 Al-Rayyan SC | 1.82–1.11 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Won against the xG: Al-Rayyan SC |
| Al Shahaniya 1–0 Lusail City | 0.94–1.04 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Close call, Al Shahaniya won |
| Al Ahli Doha 5–0 Al-Sailiya | 1.57–0.71 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Al Ahli Doha |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.