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2 of 8 matches with xG: 5 goals from 5.7 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar 2–1 Krylia Sovetov | 2.26–0.87 | 69% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
| Lokomotiv 1–1 Spartak Moscow | 1.87–0.69 | 66% · 21% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Lokomotiv had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.