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4 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 12.5 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow 2–1 Baltika | 3.12–1.05 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Moscow |
| Lokomotiv 1–1 Akhmat | 1.31–1.78 | 28% · 23% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Orenburg 2–1 FC Rostov | 1.05–0.97 | 37% · 31% · 33% | Win in line with xG for FC Orenburg |
| Rubin 1–3 FC Krasnodar | 0.82–2.42 | 11% · 17% · 73% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.