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2 of 8 matches with xG: 4 goals from 8.1 xG (0.49 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg 4–0 Dinamo Makhachkala | 3.24–1.67 | 68% · 15% · 17% | Win in line with xG for FC Orenburg |
| Akhmat 0–0 Baltika | 2.19–1.03 | 64% · 20% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Akhmat had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.