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5 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.8 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin | 1.12–1.55 | 27% · 25% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Spartak Moscow 1–0 Fakel | 2.54–0.07 | 91% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Moscow |
| Baltika 2–3 Zenit | 1.64–0.94 | 54% · 25% · 22% | Won against the xG: Zenit |
| Lokomotiv 1–1 Krylia Sovetov | 0.95–2.27 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Krylia Sovetov had 67% |
| FC Orenburg 0–0 FC Krasnodar | 1.44–1.28 | 41% · 26% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.